Douglas County Real Estate Analysis October 2009
Greetings:
October was Century 21 National Open House Month which our company participated in. We hosted 81 “Open Houses” last month we had over 150 leads and conducted a home buyers fair. I was very pleased with our turn out and thank you again for allowing us to host your home. As you can see, people still want to buy.
October sales activity was up compared to October of last year in Douglas County. Closed sales increased by 14.5% compared to last year, while pending sales rose 13.9% which is a good sign. However, our year to date closed sales are down by -7.6%. Interest rates still remain low at the 4.75-5.75% level. Also, many of our sellers are helping with buyers’ closing costs. You have probably already read or heard that the $8000 tax credit for first time homebuyers has been extended until June 30th of 2010. Also, a new tax credit of $6500 was enacted which will apply to all of us that make less than $225,000 for married couples and $125,000 for singles. Another requirement is that you must have lived in your residence at least 5 out of the last 8 years. That should help to keep the momentum going in the marketplace.
The average sales price for October 2009 was down -25% compared to last year ($189,600 v $151,000). However, if you compare the month to month sales activity, the average sales price is up 2.4% ($151,000 v. $147,500). We are seeing a slight increase in average sales price which is encouraging. Any upward movement is welcomed in this sales environment. The National Association of Realtors chief economist is still very cautious about the housing market. “Most of the wealth today for most families came from the equity they had in their homes which they used to purchase other consumer goods,” says Lawrence Yun, NAR economist. However, since that equity is disappearing they can’t afford to go out and buy other goods and services. He goes on to report that sales activity nationwide is at the highest level in over 2 years, since it hit 5.73 million in July 2007.
In Douglas County new listings fell -2.7% so we now have a 14.9 months supply of properties to sell, down from 30.3 months in January of 2009. That is good news, either seller’s are deciding to rent their properties or they are taking them off the market waiting for things to improve.
Douglas County continues to suffer in terms of unemployment. We are now at close to 14% the third highest in the state of Oregon. Foreclosures mount in times like this and according to Realty Trac, who tracks foreclosures in Douglas County, there were 240 homes repossessed in Douglas County since the first of this year. As we all know, job creation and job growth is the key to our economy, so encourage employers to hire when they can and buy locally so they can hire additional people. We all have to pull together in order to get through these very difficult times.